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2024-12-13 12:35:08

Analyst Anna: It is expected that the CPI report in November will show the core inflation rate of 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. This is consistent with the annual inflation increase of more than 3%, which is higher than the Fed's target of 2%. Since the middle of the year, the anti-inflation process of core CPI seems to have stagnated. There is no doubt that this will be a topic to be discussed at the FOMC meeting in December.COSCO Shipping once again won the bid for Qatar Energy Project. On December 11th, according to the official news of COSCO Shipping, the awarding ceremony of six QC-MAX 271,000-square-meter super-large LNG carriers for Qatar Energy Project was held at the Doha headquarters of Qatar Energy Company. Shanghai COSCO Shipping LNG, a subsidiary of COSCO Shipping Energy, and Mitsui, a merchant ship, jointly won the bid. Previously, in 2022, the two parties jointly won the bid for seven 174,000-square-meter LNG carriers of the project for the first time.US official: Russia may launch another experimental Oreshnik missile into Ukraine in the next few days. It is expected that Russia's Oreshnik missile is not a game changer on the battlefield, but an attempt to intimidate Ukraine.


The UN Secretary-General visited South Africa and called on the G20 to reform global financial institutions. On December 11th, local time, UN Secretary-General Guterres visited South Africa and attended the first meeting of G20 finance ministers and central bank governors in Johannesburg after South Africa assumed the rotating presidency of G20. Guterres called on the G20 to achieve financial justice, reform global financial institutions and expand the global safety net. He also expressed support for South Africa as the rotating presidency of G20. In the afternoon, Guterres met with South African Foreign Minister Lamora in the South African Foreign Ministry Building. The two sides discussed the priorities of the G20 presidency, promoted the implementation of future agreements, and ensured the accelerated realization of sustainable development and climate commitments. (CCTV News)Institution: The global rapeseed production reduction made the vegetable oil inventory decrease year-on-year, which supported the vegetable oil in Yuanyue. Chaotic Tiancheng Futures said that the excessive rapeseed import in the fourth quarter had supply pressure, the demand side was in the traditional consumption peak season and the low price difference between soybean oil and vegetable oil was conducive to vegetable oil consumption, which had short-term bottom support for vegetable oil. In the long run, the global rapeseed production reduction makes the vegetable oil inventory decrease year-on-year, which supports the vegetable oil in Yuanyue. Nanhua futures believes that, on the whole, the supply sources and channels of vegetable oil are gradually weakened by the restrictions on rapeseed imports. At present, due to the excellent cost performance of soybean oil at the consumer end, vegetable oil will not consider the extra increment caused by the market competition between oils and fats except the seasonal increase in consumption in the short term. However, since the subsequent inventory of vegetable oil is still fluctuating at a high level, considering the possibility of seeking demand from the competitive price of soybean oil, there will be a clear reverse correlation between the subsequent inventory and consumption of vegetable oil, while the supply consideration is relatively constant and inflexible.German Chancellor Angela Scholz called for a vote of confidence to pave the way for the February 23rd election.


Chris, analyst: After the US CPI was released, the US stock index futures once hit an intraday high, but the market reaction was still quite dull.Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut. After the CPI report was released, swap traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut before the end of 2025. They now predict that by that time, they will cut interest rates by 87 basis points, which means that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. In 2025, there will be another two interest rate cuts of 25 basis points each time, which is less than the four times proposed by Fed officials in the latest quarterly bitmap in September.The lowest temperature in the suburbs of Shanghai will fall below freezing point from Sunday. Today, the sky is cloudy and the rain is intermittent during the day. The temperature difference throughout the day is small, and the temperature in most areas is between 6~9℃. The highest temperature in Xujiahui Station in Shanghai during the day is only 7.9℃. The humidity is high, coupled with the northerly winds, and the wet and cold body feels doubled. Tomorrow is still a cold day. There are many cloud systems in Shanghai, mainly cloudy to cloudy, with weak precipitation and some short-term light rain in some areas. The wind is less than today, with northerly winds of 3-4 and coastal areas along the Yangtze River of 4-5. The temperature is between 6~11℃ and the relative humidity is 90%-60%. Affected by strong cold air, there was a strong wind and cooling process in Shanghai from 13th to 14th. At noon on the 13th (Friday), cold air began to affect Shanghai, and the temperature dropped. It is estimated that the minimum temperature will drop by 3 ~ 5 degrees in urban areas and 6 ~ 8 degrees in suburbs during the 48-hour period from 13th to 15th. The lowest temperature in most suburbs will be below freezing point from 15th to 18th. The lowest temperature of the process appeared on the morning of 15th and 16th, and the urban area dropped to about 3℃, while the suburbs of Chongming, Jinshan, Fengxian and Qingpu were-3℃ to-4℃, with thin ice or freezing. (Weather in Shanghai)

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